Over the past few decades, China’s geographic expansion in Africa has surged, reshaping the continent’s economic and political landscape. While Beijing has positioned itself as the major lending partner, concerns about debt dependency, resource exploitation, and strategic influence are growing.
China remains Africa’s largest trading partner, with bilateral trade reaching $282 billion in 2023, but the relationship remains heavily tilted in Beijing’s favor. While China imports vast amounts of African raw materials—such as oil, metals, minerals and even donkeys—African nations primarily receive Chinese manufactured goods, and consumer products. This dynamic has created a widening trade deficit, leaving Africa largely dependent on exporting unprocessed resources rather than value-added products.
Attempts to diversify exports—such as Kenya’s avocado shipments or Namibia’s beef trade—offer some promise but remain insufficient to shift the broader imbalance. Meanwhile, China’s increasing focus on critical minerals like cobalt and lithium in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) and Zambia raises concerns about whether Africa is reaping fair benefits from its resource-rich but economically vulnerable position.
China’s infrastructure investments, largely under the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), have financed landmark projects like the Nairobi Expressway in Kenya and the Lekki Deep Sea Port in Nigeria. However, concerns about debt sustainability and return of investment have intensified. Chinese lending to Africa has fallen dramatically, from a peak of $28.4 billion in 2016 to less than $1 billion in 2023—its lowest level in two decades. This shift follows high-profile debt crises in Zambia, Kenya, Uganda and Angola, where governments have struggled with repayment obligations.
Critics argue that China’s lending model fosters economic dependence, raising fears of “debt-trap diplomacy”—where defaulting nations could be pressured into granting Beijing strategic concessions. While China denies such claims, instances like Sri Lanka’s Hambantota Port handover serve as a cautionary tale for African nations wary of forfeiting sovereignty over key assets. To counter these criticisms, Beijing is pivoting toward trade partnerships, equity investments, and public-private collaborations, though these models remain underdeveloped in Africa.
China’s presence in Africa has also come under scrutiny for its environmental footprint. Chinese mining firms in Zambia and the DRC have been linked to water pollution, including contamination of the Kafue River, raising alarms among local communities and environmental groups. Similarly, large-scale infrastructure projects have contributed to deforestation and ecological degradation, with limited oversight from African governments.
Labor issues are another point of contention. Chinese companies frequently import their own workers, limiting opportunities for local employment and skill development. Reports of poor working conditions, wage disparities, and worker mistreatment have sparked protests in several countries. African labor unions have accused Chinese firms of operating with minimal regard for labor rights, reinforcing concerns that economic benefits are not being evenly distributed.
China’s influence in Africa extends beyond economics. The establishment of China’s first overseas military base in Djibouti has raised strategic red flags, with some analysts viewing it as a projection of military power rather than a purely defensive move. Beijing has also expanded its role in training African military forces in countries like Namibia and the DRC, deepening its security ties on the continent.
Such developments suggest a long-term strategic interest in Africa’s geopolitical landscape, particularly as China seeks to secure maritime access, military footholds, and critical resources. This has led to growing unease among African civil society groups, who fear that China’s expanding security presence could influence domestic governance in ways that prioritize Beijing’s interests over local stability.
China has also strengthened its soft power efforts, positioning itself as a political partner to African nations while promoting a non-interference policy. This stance contrasts with Western approaches that tie aid and investment to governance and human rights conditions, making China an attractive ally for leaders resistant to Western scrutiny.
However, China’s influence is not limited to diplomacy. Beijing has expanded its media presence across Africa, with state-run outlets like Xinhua and CGTN shaping narratives in favor of China while downplaying criticisms of its policies. This growing media footprint has raised concerns about information control and propaganda, especially as China-backed content gains traction in local African news outlets.
China’s role in Africa remains a complex mix of opportunity and challenge. While its investments have spurred infrastructure growth and trade, the long-term costs—from debt concerns and environmental risks to strategic dependency—are becoming harder to ignore. As Africa navigates this evolving partnership, governments face a critical question: How can they maximize the benefits of China’s involvement while safeguarding their own economic and political autonomy?
With debt restructuring talks ongoing and China-Africa relations at a crossroads, the future of this partnership will depend on whether African nations can negotiate stronger terms—or if they will remain locked in an unequal economic dynamic that favors Beijing.